The peaceful settlement of civil wars represents a key challenge for the international community and its policymakers. Even though mediation has become the most common tool of conflict management to settle these conflicts, so far we know relatively little about how to best manage them. This thesis examines mediation in civil wars and by building on the bargaining model of war the author argues that mediators have to concentrate primarily on the resolution of commitments problems in order to establish robust peace agreements. This paper uses an edited version of the Civil War Mediation (CWM) dataset, which comprises 366 mediation events in the time period of 1946 to 2004. By employing logistic regression analyses, the author finds that the later the intermediary enters a conflict, the lower the development and democracy level of the respective state, and the more intense a conflict is, the higher is the probability of a successful mediation outcome. The results also suggest that international and regional organizations are better equipped than other mediators to resolve commitment problems.
Subject (authority = RUETD)
Topic
Political Science
RelatedItem (type = host)
TitleInfo
Title
Rutgers University Electronic Theses and Dissertations
Rutgers University. Graduate School - New Brunswick
AssociatedObject
Type
License
Name
Author Agreement License
Detail
I hereby grant to the Rutgers University Libraries and to my school the non-exclusive right to archive, reproduce and distribute my thesis or dissertation, in whole or in part, and/or my abstract, in whole or in part, in and from an electronic format, subject to the release date subsequently stipulated in this submittal form and approved by my school. I represent and stipulate that the thesis or dissertation and its abstract are my original work, that they do not infringe or violate any rights of others, and that I make these grants as the sole owner of the rights to my thesis or dissertation and its abstract. I represent that I have obtained written permissions, when necessary, from the owner(s) of each third party copyrighted matter to be included in my thesis or dissertation and will supply copies of such upon request by my school. I acknowledge that RU ETD and my school will not distribute my thesis or dissertation or its abstract if, in their reasonable judgment, they believe all such rights have not been secured. I acknowledge that I retain ownership rights to the copyright of my work. I also retain the right to use all or part of this thesis or dissertation in future works, such as articles or books.