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Joint projections of US East Coast sea level and storm surge using a novel flood index

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TypeOfResource
Text
TitleInfo
Title
Joint projections of US East Coast sea level and storm surge using a novel flood index
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Little
NamePart (type = given)
Christopher M.
Affiliation
Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc.
Role
RoleTerm (authority = marcrt); (type = text)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Horton
NamePart (type = given)
Radley M.
Affiliation
Columbia University
Role
RoleTerm (authority = marcrt); (type = text)
author
Name (authority = orcid); (authorityURI = http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/identifiers/orcid.html); (type = personal); (valueURI = http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4016-9428)
NamePart (type = family)
Kopp
NamePart (type = given)
Robert E.
Affiliation
Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University
Role
RoleTerm (authority = marcrt); (type = text)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Oppenheimer
NamePart (type = given)
Michael
Affiliation
Princeton University
Role
RoleTerm (authority = marcrt); (type = text)
author
Name (authority = orcid); (authorityURI = http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/identifiers/orcid.html); (type = personal); (valueURI = http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5085-224X)
NamePart (type = family)
Vecchi
NamePart (type = given)
Gabriel
Affiliation
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Role
RoleTerm (authority = marcrt); (type = text)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Villarini
NamePart (type = given)
Gabriele
Affiliation
University of Iowa
Role
RoleTerm (authority = marcrt); (type = text)
author
Name (authority = RutgersOrg-Department); (type = corporate)
NamePart
Earth and Planetary Sciences
Name (authority = RutgersOrg-School); (type = corporate)
NamePart
School of Arts and Sciences (SAS) (New Brunswick)
Genre (authority = RULIB-FS)
Article, Refereed
Genre (authority = NISO JAV)
Accepted Manuscript (AM)
Note (type = peerReview)
Peer reviewed
OriginInfo
DateIssued (encoding = w3cdtf); (keyDate = yes); (qualifier = exact)
2015
Abstract (type = Abstract)
Future coastal flood risk will be strongly influenced by: 1) sea level rise (SLR) and 2) changes in the frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones (TCs). These two factors are generally considered independently. Here, we assess 21st century changes in the United States East Coast hazard using a flood index (FI) that accounts for changes in flood duration and magni- tude driven by SLR and changes in Power Dissipation Index (PDI, an integrated measure of TC intensity, frequency, and duration). SLR and PDI are derived from representative con- centration pathway (RCP) simulations of 15 atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs). By 2080-2099, changes in the FI relative to 1986-2005 are substantial and posi- tively skewed: a 10th-90th percentile range of 4-75× higher in RCP 2.6 and 35-350× higher for RCP 8.5. High-end FI projections are driven by three AOGCMs that project the largest increases in SLR, PDI, and upper ocean temperatures. Changes in PDI are particularly in- fluential if their intra-model correlation with SLR is included, increasing the RCP 8.5 90th percentile FI by an additional 25%. SLR arising from other, possibly correlated, climate processes (e.g. ice sheet and glacier mass changes) will further increase coastal flood risk and should be accounted for in comprehensive assessments.
PhysicalDescription
InternetMediaType
application/pdf
Extent
21 pages (text), 9 p. (supplementary information)
Extension
DescriptiveEvent
Type
Citation
DateTime (encoding = w3cdtf)
2015
AssociatedObject
Name
Nature Climate Change
Type
Journal
Relationship
Has part
Detail
1114-1120
Identifier (type = volume and issue)
5(2015)
Reference (type = url)
https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2801
Language
LanguageTerm (authority = ISO 639-3:2007); (type = text)
English
Subject (authority = LCSH)
Topic
Sea level
Subject (authority = LCSH)
Topic
Climatic changes--Mathematical models
Subject (authority = LCSH)
Topic
Oceanography
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Earth system modelling
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Climate change impacts
Subject (authority = LCSH)
Topic
Geophysical prediction
RelatedItem (type = host)
TitleInfo
Title
Kopp Robert E. Collection
Identifier (type = local)
rucore30119200001
Location
PhysicalLocation (authority = marcorg); (displayLabel = Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey)
NjNbRU
Identifier (type = doi)
doi:10.7282/T3WH2RZR
Genre (authority = ExL-Esploro)
Accepted Manuscript
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Rights

RightsDeclaration (AUTHORITY = FS); (ID = rulibRdec0004)
Copyright for scholarly resources published in RUcore is retained by the copyright holder. By virtue of its appearance in this open access medium, you are free to use this resource, with proper attribution, in educational and other non-commercial settings. Other uses, such as reproduction or republication, may require the permission of the copyright holder.
Copyright
Status
Copyright protected
Availability
Status
Open
Reason
Permission or license
RightsEvent
Type
Permission or license
AssociatedObject
Type
License
Name
Multiple author license v. 1
Detail
I hereby grant to Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey (Rutgers) the non-exclusive right to retain, reproduce, and distribute the deposited work (Work) in whole or in part, in and from its electronic format, without fee. This agreement does not represent a transfer of copyright to Rutgers.Rutgers may make and keep more than one copy of the Work for purposes of security, backup, preservation, and access and may migrate the Work to any medium or format for the purpose of preservation and access in the future. Rutgers will not make any alteration, other than as allowed by this agreement, to the Work.I represent and warrant to Rutgers that the Work is my original work. I also represent that the Work does not, to the best of my knowledge, infringe or violate any rights of others.I further represent and warrant that I have obtained all necessary rights to permit Rutgers to reproduce and distribute the Work and that any third-party owned content is clearly identified and acknowledged within the Work.By granting this license, I acknowledge that I have read and agreed to the terms of this agreement and all related RUcore and Rutgers policies.
RightsEvent
Type
Embargo
DateTime (point = start); (encoding = w3cdtf)
2015-12-02
DateTime (point = end); (encoding = w3cdtf)
2016-03-21
Detail
Access to this PDF has been restricted at the publisher's request. The publisher, Nature, requires a 6 month embargo from the date the article was published. The article in this repository will be publicly available after March 21, 2016.
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Technical

RULTechMD (ID = TECHNICAL1)
ContentModel
Document
RULTechMD (ID = TECHNICAL2)
ContentModel
Document
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