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Managing living marine resources in a dynamic environment: The role of seasonal to decadal climate forecasts

Descriptive

TypeOfResource
Text
TitleInfo
Title
Managing living marine resources in a dynamic environment: The role of seasonal to decadal climate forecasts
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Tomassi
NamePart (type = given)
Desiree
Affiliation
Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton University
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Stock
NamePart (type = given)
Charles
Affiliation
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, NOAA
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Hobday
NamePart (type = given)
Alistair J.
Affiliation
CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Methot
NamePart (type = given)
Rick
Affiliation
Northwest Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Kaplan
NamePart (type = given)
Isaac C.
Affiliation
Conservation Biology Division, Northwest Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Eveson
NamePart (type = given)
J. Paige
Affiliation
CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Holsman
NamePart (type = given)
Kirstin
Affiliation
Alaska Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Miller
NamePart (type = given)
Timothy J.
Affiliation
Northeast Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Gaichas
NamePart (type = given)
Sarah
Affiliation
Northeast Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Gehlen
NamePart (type = given)
Marion
Affiliation
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement Institut Pierre Simon Laplace
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Pershing
NamePart (type = given)
Andrew
Affiliation
Gulf of Maine Research Institute
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Vecchi
NamePart (type = given)
Gabriel
Affiliation
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, NOAA
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Msadek
NamePart (type = given)
Rym
Affiliation
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)/CERFAC
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Delworth
NamePart (type = given)
Tom
Affiliation
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, NOAA
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Eakin
NamePart (type = given)
C. Mark
Affiliation
NOAA Coral Reef Watch, Center for Satellite Applications and Research
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Haltuch
NamePart (type = given)
Mellisa A.
Affiliation
Northwest Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Séférian
NamePart (type = given)
Roland
Affiliation
Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Spillman
NamePart (type = given)
Claire M.
Affiliation
Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Hartog
NamePart (type = given)
Jason R.
Affiliation
CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Siedlecki
NamePart (type = given)
Samantha
Affiliation
University of Washington
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Samhouri
NamePart (type = given)
Jameal F.
Affiliation
Conservation Biology Division, Northwest Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Muhling
NamePart (type = given)
Barbara
Affiliation
Princeton University
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Asch
NamePart (type = given)
Rebecca G.
Affiliation
Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton University
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Pinsky
NamePart (type = given)
Malin L.
Affiliation
Ecology, Evolution and Natural Resources, Rutgers University
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Saba
NamePart (type = given)
Vincent S.
Affiliation
Northeast Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton University
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Kapnick
NamePart (type = given)
Sarah B.
Affiliation
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, NOAA
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Gaitan
NamePart (type = given)
Carlos F.
Affiliation
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, NOAA & Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Rykaczewski
NamePart (type = given)
Ryan R.
Affiliation
Department of Biological Sciences, Marine Science Program, University of South Carolina
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Alexander
NamePart (type = given)
Michael A.
Affiliation
Earth System Research Laboratory
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Xue
NamePart (type = given)
Yan
Affiliation
Climate Prediction Center, NCEP/NWS/NOAA
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Pegion
NamePart (type = given)
Kathleen V.
Affiliation
Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, George Mason University
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Lynch
NamePart (type = given)
Patrick
Affiliation
Office of Science & Technology, National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Payne
NamePart (type = given)
Mark R.
Affiliation
Technical University of Denmark, National Institute of Aquatic Resources
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Kristiansen
NamePart (type = given)
Trond
Affiliation
Institute of Marine Research, Bergen, Norway
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Lehodey
NamePart (type = given)
Patrick
Affiliation
Collecte Localisation Satellite (CLS)
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = personal)
NamePart (type = family)
Werner
NamePart (type = given)
Francisco E.
Affiliation
Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA
Role
RoleTerm (type = text); (authority = marcrt)
author
Name (type = corporate); (authority = RutgersOrg-Department)
NamePart
Ecology, Evolution and Natural Resources
Name (type = corporate); (authority = RutgersOrg-School)
NamePart
School of Environmental and Biological Sciences (SEBS)
Genre (authority = RULIB-FS)
Article, Refereed
Genre (authority = NISO JAV)
Accepted Manuscript (AM)
Note (type = peerReview)
Peer reviewed
OriginInfo
DateIssued (encoding = w3cdtf); (keyDate = yes)
2017
Abstract (type = Abstract)
Recent developments in global dynamical climate prediction systems have allowed for skillful predictions of climate variables relevant to living marine resources (LMRs) at a scale useful to understanding and managing LMRs. Such predictions present opportunities for improved LMR management and industry operations, as well as new research avenues in fisheries science. LMRs respond to climate variability via changes in physiology and behavior. For species and systems where climate-fisheries links are well established, forecasted LMR responses can lead to anticipatory and more effective decisions, benefiting both managers and stakeholders. Here, we provide an overview of climate prediction systems and advances in seasonal to decadal prediction of marine-resource relevant environmental variables. We then describe a range of climate-sensitive LMR decisions that can be taken at lead-times of months to decades, before highlighting a range of pioneering case studies using climate predictions to inform LMR decisions. The success of these case studies suggests that many additional applications are possible. Progress, however, is limited by observational and modeling challenges. Priority developments include strengthening of the mechanistic linkages between climate and marine resource responses, development of LMR models able to explicitly represent such responses, integration of climate driven LMR dynamics in the multi-driver context within which marine resources exist, and improved prediction of ecosystemrelevant variables at the fine regional scales at which most marine resource decisions are made. While there are fundamental limits to predictability, continued advances in these areas have considerable potential to make LMR managers and industry decision more resilient to climate variability and help sustain valuable resources. Concerted dialog between scientists, LMR managers and industry is essential to realizing this potential.
Language
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English
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application/pdf
Extent
90 p.
Extension
DescriptiveEvent
Type
Citation
DateTime (encoding = w3cdtf)
2017
AssociatedObject
Name
Progress in Oceanography
Type
Journal
Relationship
Has part
Detail
15-49
Identifier (type = volume and issue)
152
Reference (type = url)
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2016.12.011
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Climatology
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Fisheries
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Forecasting
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Managers
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Marine biology
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Natural resources
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Oceanography
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Climate forecasts
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Climate prediction
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Climate variability
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Climate variables
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Decadal predictions
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Dynamic environments
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Environmental variables
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Industry operations
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Climate models
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Climate change
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Decadal variation
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Decision making
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Ecosystem management
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Environmental conditions
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Fishery management
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Marine environment
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Marine resource
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Research work
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Seasonal variation
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Stakeholder
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Sustainable development
Subject (authority = local)
Topic
Weather forecasting
RelatedItem (type = host)
TitleInfo
Title
Pinsky, Malin L.
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rucore30149900001
Location
PhysicalLocation (authority = marcorg); (displayLabel = Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey)
NjNbRU
Identifier (type = doi)
doi:10.7282/T3NG4TGJ
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Multiple author license v. 1
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2018-02-03
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Access to this PDF has been restricted at the publisher's request. It will be publicly available after February 3, 2018.
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